Elon Musk launches “America Party” – Can it impact American politics under the two-party
system?
By TN Ashok
New York
July 09, 2025
Elon Musk launched recently the America Party after a bitter months long feud with President Donald Trump over the latters Big Beautiful Bill which has left most of his concerns out on spending cuts and raising revenues to plug the budgetary deficit of $3.4 trillion and pushing the debt to $5 trillion over a decade from now. The tech billionaire left the Department of Government Efficiency – DOGE- after he found the $750 billion, he saved for President Trump was squandered away with huge tax cuts for the billionaires benefits on the average each some $20,000 to $200,000 dollars a year from those earning upwards of $4 million a year. There were no measures in the BBB to show how these gaps were sought to be filled.
Trump, who once called Musk, 1st buddy, called his decision a Ridiculous Idea and said Musk had gone off the rails and he had become a train wreck in recent months. They both had a public spat over spending cuts and a government that would bankrupt the country with its deficits and debts. Yet, a confident Trump remained unfazed and said the United States had been a two-party system and past efforts to launch a 3rd front had failed miserably. Neither the Greens made it nor the Libertarians survived the peoples verdict in favor of two- party system.
So can Musk change the scenario of the past and usher in a change reflecting the aspiration of the people who voted Trump into White House in 2024, who now feel betrayed as grocery prices are still high, gas prices fluctuate , egg prices notched an all-time high of $9 a doz against $2 to $3 a doz. There is now new frustration as Trump cuts Medicaid to save $1 trillion and eliminate 11.8 million from the health care net besides cutting on food subsidies – under the supplemental nutritional assistance program aka SNAP (Food Stamps) that will hit the low-income groups badly.
Musks new party, yet to be registered, only talks about effecting spending cuts and curtailing the deficit and keeping govt debt under control – no measures have been outlined yet , a party manifesto is yet to come out – yet a Yes or No vote on if people wanted a government that would reflect the peoples aspirations conducted on his X platform elicited a whopping 1.2 million responses saying they wanted a change from the two party system –
Democrats and the Republicans — The demos are labelled as socialists or communists for their social welfare programmes and taxing the rich to subsidizing the poor , and GOP is swinging ultra far right to make the affluent richer and saying America is a land of opportunity, if you want to live well, show enterprise and grow your wealth.
Sandwiched between the two is the American population of which 340 million are registered voters with the West Coast and the East Coast being dominated by the Democrats and the mid-west and south being engineered by the republicans. GOP finds popularity with the farmers, college dropouts, uneducated, extremely affluent and deeply religious blocks. The democrats derive strength from the highly educated, college degree holders, middle class African Americans , Hispanics, Arabs, Indians and Asians.
So, United States is moving to a 3- party system as rest of the world of multiple political parties in its 250th year of independence celebrations Musk is not too much concerned about 11.8 million being pushed out of the health care net by slashes in Medicaid, SNAP – Food Credits, by saving $1 trillion, still not enough to plug the hole in the budget deficit. He is concerned his efforts at DOGE at curbing government expenditure (his target $1 trillion – achievement $750 billion) cutting govt.jobs considered irrelevant, went waste.
Let’s analyze if America is ready for a three-party system.
Potential Impact on American Politics (Three-Party System): What is the potential to disrupt the two-party system: While third parties traditionally struggle in the US, Musk’s financial resources and visibility could give his party a platform to challenge the dominance of the Democrats and Republicans. Now that is easier said than done, because it has taken 250 years for the two parties to win the election cycles alternately. 3rd parties before having fallen by the wayside. The greens never had it. The libertines never made it.
Focus on key races: The America Party could focus on a select number of Senate and House seats to act as a “deciding vote” on key legislation, impacting the balance of power in Congress.
Potential Impact on the Republican Party in 2026 Midterms: Splitting the Republican vote: Some experts suggest that the America Party could attract voters who might otherwise support Republican candidates, potentially leading to Democrats winning seats.
Targeting specific Republican incumbents: In 2025 Trump has established that the GOP IS LED BY HIM AND ANYONE CROSSING THE THIN RED LINE IS OUT. It’s not the 2017 GOP election cycle where the Republicans led Trump into White House.
Musk has indicated he may support primary challenges against Republican lawmakers who supported the recently passed tax-cut and spending bill. But that’s not enough to get votes, he must win the democratic stronghold out which are threatening to return back home in the 2026 November mid-terms – The house elects’ representatives once in two years and the senate re-elects its members every two years though they enjoy a six-year term.
If Musk splits the republicans’ votes, first scenario: he makes democrats win; that’s not his objective. Second Scenario: if he gets enough seats leaving both parties without the requisite numbers to form the majority in the House, then he has enough bargaining power with Trump to get what he wants.
On the one side you have a highly disgruntled immigration population who feel let down by Trump and his policies, another section of middle classes on prices, yet another on cuts to health care and food subsidies – Musk cannot win them over, and that’s the point of it all , splitting Republican votes is the only objective , then he has a point, but GOP is led by Trump, how many will be bold enough to cross the Red Line?
Do the math’s: House Republicans enjoy wafer thin majority 220 to 215 and Senate GOP enjoys 53-47 majority. Musk will seek to upset this apple cart by winning those five to six seats in the house to reduce the Republican majority and winning seven to eight senate seats to disrupt GOP majority. Which he is capable of with money to spend on the elections and getting disgruntled and retiring GOP members re-elected, who are bound to lose their seats in the November mid-terms in 2026. Then Musk has arrived with his America Party enough power to disrupt legislative proceedings with any of the two parties needing his support to pass each and every legislation in the house and the senate.
Possible co-option by major parties: If the America Party gains traction, either the Republican or Democratic party might try to adopt its platform to attract its supporters.
